And what country can preserve its liberties if their rulers are not warned from time to time that their people preserve the spirit of resistance? Let them take arms. The remedy is to set them right as to facts, pardon and pacify them. What signify a few lives lost in a century or two? The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants.
Monday, April 24, 2023
I hear the Chinese consider pangolins to be delicious
WASHINGTON – In a pessimistic, but realistic, 2026 war game scenario, a combined sabotage and information operation campaign helped Chinese military forces land on the shores of Taiwan. The United States, caught off guard due to another global crisis, must rapidly respond.
The bitter end The players and moderators ran their game for more than an hour, going through major moves, assumptions and outcomes.
“We took a giant face shot on our first turn when our carrier died,” Dougherty said.
“That always happens,” Mark Cancian said.
“One of the big lessons from these (war games) is that a deterrent is also a target,” Mark Cancian said.
While the China team had early successes, they lost far too much and took too many strikes on their ports and supply chain to continue the fight.
By the end of the game, the China team had more than 30 battalions on Taiwan, quite a feat in under three weeks of battle.
But the U.S. was able to cut off the Chinese resupply entirely, leaving thousands of simulated Chinese soldiers foraging for food, low on ammunition and trying to outmaneuver U.S. forces in a cat-and-mouse fight.
Dougherty noted how the time frame helped show real-world considerations. In many days-long simulations, the United States takes many losses, and the end looks dire. But in a longer timeline, China takes more losses and once the U.S. gets its forces flowing into theater, the result is almost unchangeable — the U.S. wins, but at a heavy cost.
An aircraft carrier that started play a little too close to Chinese weapons systems was lost early. Other carriers hightailed it out of Chinese weapons ranges but were then ineffective in providing support.
In the end, Japan did enter the fight, losing a Surface Action Group and other equipment. The United States lost three Surface Action Groups, comprising typically of at least three to four ships.
But the Chinese military took far more hits — 51 amphibious ships, 58 major combatant ships, seven Surface Action Groups and many more air and fires assets.
As one player noted, the Chinese Navy ceased to exist in any functional capacity after a few weeks of U.S. strikes.
The game ended before the complete conclusion of fighting, so it could get worse. The losses counted as historic by any modern measure but were limited in part due to long-range fires and precision targeting.
But the land battle on Taiwan would likely devolve into brutal large-scale combat neither nation has seen in decades.
“It would be a very different fight when you have to get in close and the attrition goes up further,” Cancian said. “At some point, we’re going to be throwing rocks at each other.”
That is fighting WWII all over again. Annihilation of logistical support is how USA defeated the nips in the Pacific. That strategy was also effective in ETO.
Surely the belligerents have learned to harden their logistics stream since then. Certainly there are more effective stand off weaponry since then.
If one thinks that the Chinese will invade Taiwan without first disrupting the United States....then someone please explain the physically fit, crew cut Chinese men that have been apprehended at the border in recent months. Seems to me that the Chinese are placing assets in the eventuality that they will invade and to stop the US from interference, they will do small things like attacks on power grid, railroad bridges, radars....little things to tie up Americans.
They don't eat the meat. They'll kill them for their scales, which they grind up and swallow in order to make their manginas stick out farther and harder.
Like killing rhinos for their horns, elephants for their tusks, yada yada. All other items are discarded, left to rot.
Wonder if it tastes like alligator?
ReplyDeleteThe Chinese consider anything and everything delicious…..it’s hard to feed 2-3 Billion people..
ReplyDeleteSum Tin Wong with them Chinese
ReplyDeletewonder how they'll feel about hot lead.
ReplyDeleteThe hard part is getting the cesspool aftertaste out of the meat.
ReplyDeletethey're cute, and they walk on their hind legs.
ReplyDeleteThey really like bamboo rats and fried wasp pupa as well.....
ReplyDelete- WDS
Is he related to the Armadillo ?
ReplyDeleteWASHINGTON – In a pessimistic, but realistic, 2026 war game scenario, a combined sabotage and information operation campaign helped Chinese military forces land on the shores of Taiwan. The United States, caught off guard due to another global crisis, must rapidly respond.
ReplyDeleteThe bitter end
The players and moderators ran their game for more than an hour, going through major moves, assumptions and outcomes.
“We took a giant face shot on our first turn when our carrier died,” Dougherty said.
“That always happens,” Mark Cancian said.
“One of the big lessons from these (war games) is that a deterrent is also a target,” Mark Cancian said.
While the China team had early successes, they lost far too much and took too many strikes on their ports and supply chain to continue the fight.
By the end of the game, the China team had more than 30 battalions on Taiwan, quite a feat in under three weeks of battle.
But the U.S. was able to cut off the Chinese resupply entirely, leaving thousands of simulated Chinese soldiers foraging for food, low on ammunition and trying to outmaneuver U.S. forces in a cat-and-mouse fight.
Dougherty noted how the time frame helped show real-world considerations. In many days-long simulations, the United States takes many losses, and the end looks dire. But in a longer timeline, China takes more losses and once the U.S. gets its forces flowing into theater, the result is almost unchangeable — the U.S. wins, but at a heavy cost.
An aircraft carrier that started play a little too close to Chinese weapons systems was lost early. Other carriers hightailed it out of Chinese weapons ranges but were then ineffective in providing support.
In the end, Japan did enter the fight, losing a Surface Action Group and other equipment. The United States lost three Surface Action Groups, comprising typically of at least three to four ships.
But the Chinese military took far more hits — 51 amphibious ships, 58 major combatant ships, seven Surface Action Groups and many more air and fires assets.
As one player noted, the Chinese Navy ceased to exist in any functional capacity after a few weeks of U.S. strikes.
The game ended before the complete conclusion of fighting, so it could get worse. The losses counted as historic by any modern measure but were limited in part due to long-range fires and precision targeting.
But the land battle on Taiwan would likely devolve into brutal large-scale combat neither nation has seen in decades.
“It would be a very different fight when you have to get in close and the attrition goes up further,” Cancian said. “At some point, we’re going to be throwing rocks at each other.”
Kind of my thoughts. We win in the end, but weaker. Towards the end Russia could decide to finish the Cold War.
DeleteThat is fighting WWII all over again. Annihilation of logistical support is how USA defeated the nips in the Pacific. That strategy was also effective in ETO.
DeleteSurely the belligerents have learned to harden their logistics stream since then. Certainly there are more effective stand off weaponry since then.
Did the war take in to account the Chinese stationed around the world?
DeleteEvil Franklin
If one thinks that the Chinese will invade Taiwan without first disrupting the United States....then someone please explain the physically fit, crew cut Chinese men that have been apprehended at the border in recent months. Seems to me that the Chinese are placing assets in the eventuality that they will invade and to stop the US from interference, they will do small things like attacks on power grid, railroad bridges, radars....little things to tie up Americans.
DeleteAll things bright and beautiful,
ReplyDeleteAll creatures great and small,
All things wise and wonderful,
The Chinese eat them all.
Mmmm, tastes like a wasting disease.
ReplyDeletefull of really, really, REALLY bad bacteria
ReplyDeleteJust like bats...
ReplyDeleteThey don't eat the meat. They'll kill them for their scales, which they grind up and swallow in order to make their manginas stick out farther and harder.
ReplyDeleteLike killing rhinos for their horns, elephants for their tusks, yada yada. All other items are discarded, left to rot.
They make convenient patsies too.
ReplyDelete