Monday, June 3, 2019

A rather dark theoretical answer to the Fermi paradox

More seriously, the actual "First in, last out" solution Berezin proposes is a grimmer scenario.
"What if the first life that reaches interstellar travel capability necessarily eradicates all competition to fuel its own expansion?" he hypothesises.
As Berezin explains, this doesn't necessarily mean a highly developed extra-terrestrial civilisation would consciously wipe out other lifeforms – but perhaps "they simply won't notice, the same way a construction crew demolishes an anthill to build real estate because they lack incentive to protect it".
We are probably not the ants, but the future destroyers of the very worlds we've been looking for this whole time.
"Assuming the hypothesis above is correct, what does it mean for our future?" Berezin writes.
"The only explanation is the invocation of the anthropic principle. We are the first to arrive at the [interstellar] stage. And, most likely, will be the last to leave."
Again, such potential destruction wouldn't need to be wilfully designed or orchestrated – it could just play out like a completely unrestricted system, bigger than any individual's attempts to control it.
One example Berezin gives is free market capitalism, and another could be the dangers of an artificial intelligence (AI) untethered by constraints on its accumulation of power.
"One rogue AI can potentially populate the entire supercluster with copies of itself, turning every solar system into a supercomputer, and there is no use asking why it would do that," Berezin writes.
"All that matters is that it can."
It's a pretty terrifying outlook on Fermi – basically, we may be the winners of a deadly race we didn't even know we were competing in, or as Andrew Masterson at Cosmos put it, "we are the paradox resolution made manifest".

7 comments:

  1. They figure there are somewhere around 40 billion planets in the habitable "Goldilocks zone" in the Milkyway galaxy. And that is just our galaxy, there are more galaxies out there than you can count!

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  2. We could be the latest in a long line of intelligent beings dating back billions of years....or we could be the first....one thing we know for sure is.....we don't know....

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  3. Simply another thought experiment. Certainly not impossible. Just as possible is that the Galaxy has plenty of intelligent life.....but that the speed of light truly is the ultimate speed limit and it's simply not possible to travel between stars so we can never ever meet or communicate with anyone else. There are plenty of theories about life in the Galaxy...and most them are just as possible/probable as any other theory.

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  4. Inhabiting other planets sounds great and there are a zillion sci-fi books written about it but the one thing books ignore is that we as a species have had millions of years in one form or another to build immunity to all sorts of toxic aggressors on earth but have zero time in a new environment with all of its new and hungry toxic life forms. One unknown unseen virus could kill everyone.

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    1. Fermi had a wonderful mind and shared his thoughts with us all. one thing has stayed with me that he wrote, do we really want to be found?
      the only difference between the condemned and the free is the condemned know their expiration date. do we really want to know?

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