Monday, May 5, 2025

Half a Century After Launched, Decommissioned Soviet Spacecraft Will Fall Back to Earth This Week. You might be in the impact zone.

For half a century, lost Soviet satellite Kosmos 482 circled in the Earth’s orbit after the rocket propelling it failed to send it to Venus to fulfill its mission.

Now it will crash back on Earth – 1,100 pounds of space junk expected to hit our planet anywhere between May 9 and May 13.

Keep your eyes peeled.

 


Kosmos 482’s estimated areas of impact.

“Likewise, the exact timing of the landing is still uncertain, but most predictions center around May 10 or the early hours of May 11. Dr Langbroek says: ‘The risks involved are not particularly high, but not zero’.”

It is probable that the probe will land in one of the oceans.


24 comments:

  1. OH, I hope it hits me directly.

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    1. Sweet relief. Like winning the lottery!

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  2. Strange. Not expected to land in the Soviet Union.

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    1. Might want to relook at history. Soviet Union is as dead as the Roman Empire.

      As for landing in Russian Federation territory look again, yes possible.

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  3. Looks like Alaska and most of Canada and Greenland, our future 51st and 52nd states are safe or nearly so.

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  4. I understand that the vast majority (if not all) of the space junk will burn to a cinder when it gets to the Earth's atmosphere.

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  5. Where is the Taco Bell target this time… I could go for a free diarrhea inducing taco. Missed out when Skylab fell….

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  6. I've already alerted my emergency services, aka: My law firm. I'm looking forward to owning the Kremlin.

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  7. A venus probe unintentionally returning to Earth? Quick! Call Steve Austin! This is a job for the Bionic Man!

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  8. Lot of junk up there, looks like, with all the new com sats everyone is launching, SpaceX alone has approx 6000 com sats, its gonna reach a stage they will need to begin salvage operations. Or a couple collisions lead to that theoretical cascading wave of destruction takes out everything. Regardless its insane how many satellites been launched, and how many do they need to peeping effin' tom regular folks anyways?

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  9. They say it's uncertain but can we be sure Putin hasn't got it aimed at the orange felon?

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  10. Phew! We're North of the guesswork area.

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    1. I was hoping they could narrow it down a lot better than +50 to -50 longitude. It's like they aren't even trying.

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  11. At least DC is in the zone.

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  12. They don't know when it will crash and the possible impact area is 80% of the planet..............

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  13. I've read that part of the problem is that the space vehicle was designed for re-entry, and therefore that there's a fair chance it might make it through its re-entry intact. Is there a website for tracking its projected path, one that's being updated as it becomes more certain?

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    1. https://heavens-above.com/PassSummary.aspx?satid=6073

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    2. https://heavens-above.com/

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  14. I'm surprised that no one has set up a football-pool type lottery for the impact point.

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  15. I remember once, about 1970, watching a Russian satellite reentry. We were up in the mountains away from the lights and watched it from horizon to horizon. It broke apart directly over head and pieces landed in the Gulf of California some 250 miles south of us.

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  16. Kool Beans! Love to catch it streaking cross the horizon at night.

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